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445 STONE WATER LN, JARRELL, TX 76537

JARRELL, 76537 — williamson County

3 bed2 bath1,103 sqftBuilt 2021

Property at a Glance

This home is estimated between $137,287 and $366,690, with a best estimate of $203,743. That places the property below the J210321D - RIO LOBO median of $278,460, in a neighborhood that declined 1.3% over the past year.

Estimated Value Range

$137,287 $366,690
Best Estimate
$203,743
WCAD Value
$306,687
High Confidence

Based on 5 comparable properties(5 in the same subdivision)

Based on 5 comparable properties in J210321D - RIO LOBO, this home's estimated market value is between $137,287 and $366,690. All 5 comparables are in the same subdivision, giving this estimate high confidence.

Comparable Properties (5)

305 STONE WATER LN, JARRELL, TX 76537
0.00 mi 100% similar Same subdivision
3 bed 2 bath 1,578 sqft Built 2022
Raw Value $253,745
Adjusted Value $137,287

Adjusted -$113,359 for 475 sqft less living space and -$3,099 for being older. Net adjustment: -$116,458.

429 STONE WATER LN, JARRELL, TX 76537
0.00 mi 100% similar Same subdivision
3 bed 2 bath 1,510 sqft Built 2022
Raw Value $249,218
Adjusted Value $148,988

Adjusted -$97,131 for 407 sqft less living space and -$3,099 for being older. Net adjustment: -$100,230.

408 STONE WATER LN, JARRELL, TX 76537
0.00 mi 100% similar Same subdivision
3 bed 2 bath 1,197 sqft Built 2022
Raw Value $229,275
Adjusted Value $203,743

Adjusted -$22,433 for 94 sqft less living space and -$3,099 for being older. Net adjustment: -$25,532.

308 STONE WATER LN, JARRELL, TX 76537
0.00 mi 100% similar Same subdivision
3 bed 2 bath 1,197 sqft Built 2022
Raw Value $229,275
Adjusted Value $203,743

Adjusted -$22,433 for 94 sqft less living space and -$3,099 for being older. Net adjustment: -$25,532.

404 STONE WATER LN, JARRELL, TX 76537
0.00 mi 100% similar Same subdivision
3 bed 2 bath 646 sqft Built 2022
Raw Value $260,725
Adjusted Value $366,690

Adjusted +$109,064 for 457 sqft more living space and -$3,099 for being older. Net adjustment: +$105,965.

The Neighborhood

This home is valued 10.1% above the J210321D - RIO LOBO median of $278,460. With 233 homes in the subdivision, the property sits in the upper tier. Note that values in this subdivision declined 1.3% over the past year.

J210321D - RIO LOBO

typical
233 Properties
$278,460 Median Value
-1.3% YoY Change
0% Have Pool
100% Have Garage
This Home
$306,687
Median
$278,460

This home is +10.1% above the subdivision median.

Tax Analysis

The estimated annual property tax is $8,068 across all districts. With a homestead exemption claimed, that drops to $6,378 — saving $1,690 per year. That's $532 per month a buyer should budget. The assessed value increased roughly in line with the neighborhood, so a tax protest is unlikely to yield significant savings.

Tax Districts

DistrictTypeRateAnnual Amount
Jarrell ISDSchool1.1669%$3,579
Cool Water MUDMUD0.9500%$2,914
Williamson CountyCounty0.3694%$1,133
Williamson County ESD #5 - JarrellESD0.1000%$307
Williamson County FM/RdCounty0.0443%$136
Williamson Central Appraisal Districtcad0.0000%$0
Total Annual Tax2.6307%$8,068

Mortgage Context

At today's 30-year mortgage rate of 6.38%, a buyer financing $203,743 would pay approximately $1,272 per month (principal and interest only, excluding taxes and insurance).

Data sourced from Williamson County Appraisal District (WCAD), Texas Education Agency (TEA), and Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED). Assessment values reflect the appraisal district's estimate, not market sale prices. Report generated 4/18/2026.

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